| Product Code: ETC8621396 | Publication Date: Sep 2024 | Updated Date: Nov 2025 | Product Type: Market Research Report | |
| Publisher: 6Wresearch | Author: Sumit Sagar | No. of Pages: 75 | No. of Figures: 35 | No. of Tables: 20 |
Despite a significant decline in the CAGR and growth rate for Nigeria`s cigarette import shipments, the market remains highly concentrated, with top exporters being Vietnam, UAE, South Korea, China, and Hong Kong in 2024. The high Herfindahl-Hirschman Index (HHI) indicates limited competition in the market, potentially impacting pricing and market dynamics. The negative growth rates suggest challenges in the industry, possibly due to changing consumer preferences, regulatory measures, or economic factors. Stakeholders should closely monitor these trends to strategize effectively in this challenging environment.

1 Executive Summary |
2 Introduction |
2.1 Key Highlights of the Report |
2.2 Report Description |
2.3 Market Scope & Segmentation |
2.4 Research Methodology |
2.5 Assumptions |
3 Nigeria Cigarettes Market Overview |
3.1 Nigeria Country Macro Economic Indicators |
3.2 Nigeria Cigarettes Market Revenues & Volume, 2021 & 2031F |
3.3 Nigeria Cigarettes Market - Industry Life Cycle |
3.4 Nigeria Cigarettes Market - Porter's Five Forces |
3.5 Nigeria Cigarettes Market Revenues & Volume Share, By Type, 2021 & 2031F |
3.6 Nigeria Cigarettes Market Revenues & Volume Share, By Format, 2021 & 2031F |
3.7 Nigeria Cigarettes Market Revenues & Volume Share, By Pack Type, 2021 & 2031F |
3.8 Nigeria Cigarettes Market Revenues & Volume Share, By Price, 2021 & 2031F |
3.9 Nigeria Cigarettes Market Revenues & Volume Share, By Age Group, 2021 & 2031F |
3.10 Nigeria Cigarettes Market Revenues & Volume Share, By Distribution Channel, 2021 & 2031F |
3.11 Nigeria Cigarettes Market Revenues & Volume Share, By End-User, 2021 & 2031F |
4 Nigeria Cigarettes Market Dynamics |
4.1 Impact Analysis |
4.2 Market Drivers |
4.2.1 Increasing disposable income in Nigeria |
4.2.2 Growing population, especially among young adults |
4.2.3 Rising urbanization leading to higher tobacco consumption |
4.2.4 Aggressive marketing and promotional activities by cigarette companies |
4.3 Market Restraints |
4.3.1 Stringent government regulations on tobacco advertising and packaging |
4.3.2 Health concerns and anti-smoking campaigns impacting cigarette consumption |
4.3.3 Influx of illicit cigarettes and counterfeit products affecting market growth |
5 Nigeria Cigarettes Market Trends |
6 Nigeria Cigarettes Market, By Types |
6.1 Nigeria Cigarettes Market, By Type |
6.1.1 Overview and Analysis |
6.1.2 Nigeria Cigarettes Market Revenues & Volume, By Type, 2021- 2031F |
6.1.3 Nigeria Cigarettes Market Revenues & Volume, By Regular Cigarettes, 2021- 2031F |
6.1.4 Nigeria Cigarettes Market Revenues & Volume, By Clove Cigarettes, 2021- 2031F |
6.1.5 Nigeria Cigarettes Market Revenues & Volume, By Hand-Rolled Cigarettes, 2021- 2031F |
6.1.6 Nigeria Cigarettes Market Revenues & Volume, By E-Cigarettes, 2021- 2031F |
6.1.7 Nigeria Cigarettes Market Revenues & Volume, By Flavoured Cigarettes, 2021- 2031F |
6.1.8 Nigeria Cigarettes Market Revenues & Volume, By Menthol Cigarettes, 2021- 2031F |
6.1.9 Nigeria Cigarettes Market Revenues & Volume, By Others, 2021- 2031F |
6.1.10 Nigeria Cigarettes Market Revenues & Volume, By Others, 2021- 2031F |
6.2 Nigeria Cigarettes Market, By Format |
6.2.1 Overview and Analysis |
6.2.2 Nigeria Cigarettes Market Revenues & Volume, By Regular, 2021- 2031F |
6.2.3 Nigeria Cigarettes Market Revenues & Volume, By Super Slim, 2021- 2031F |
6.2.4 Nigeria Cigarettes Market Revenues & Volume, By Slim, 2021- 2031F |
6.2.5 Nigeria Cigarettes Market Revenues & Volume, By King Size, 2021- 2031F |
6.2.6 Nigeria Cigarettes Market Revenues & Volume, By Others, 2021- 2031F |
6.3 Nigeria Cigarettes Market, By Pack Type |
6.3.1 Overview and Analysis |
6.3.2 Nigeria Cigarettes Market Revenues & Volume, By Boxes, 2021- 2031F |
6.3.3 Nigeria Cigarettes Market Revenues & Volume, By Metal Cases, 2021- 2031F |
6.3.4 Nigeria Cigarettes Market Revenues & Volume, By Others, 2021- 2031F |
6.4 Nigeria Cigarettes Market, By Price |
6.4.1 Overview and Analysis |
6.4.2 Nigeria Cigarettes Market Revenues & Volume, By Economy, 2021- 2031F |
6.4.3 Nigeria Cigarettes Market Revenues & Volume, By Premium, 2021- 2031F |
6.5 Nigeria Cigarettes Market, By Age Group |
6.5.1 Overview and Analysis |
6.5.2 Nigeria Cigarettes Market Revenues & Volume, By 18-30 Age Group, 2021- 2031F |
6.5.3 Nigeria Cigarettes Market Revenues & Volume, By 31-44 Age Group, 2021- 2031F |
6.5.4 Nigeria Cigarettes Market Revenues & Volume, By 45-60 Age Group, 2021- 2031F |
6.5.5 Nigeria Cigarettes Market Revenues & Volume, By 61 And Above Age Group, 2021- 2031F |
6.6 Nigeria Cigarettes Market, By Distribution Channel |
6.6.1 Overview and Analysis |
6.6.2 Nigeria Cigarettes Market Revenues & Volume, By Tobacconist Store, 2021- 2031F |
6.6.3 Nigeria Cigarettes Market Revenues & Volume, By Newsstand, 2021- 2031F |
6.6.4 Nigeria Cigarettes Market Revenues & Volume, By Retail Stores, 2021- 2031F |
6.6.5 Nigeria Cigarettes Market Revenues & Volume, By Convenience Store, 2021- 2031F |
6.6.6 Nigeria Cigarettes Market Revenues & Volume, By Drug Store, 2021- 2031F |
6.6.7 Nigeria Cigarettes Market Revenues & Volume, By Specialty E-Cigarette Store, 2021- 2031F |
6.7 Nigeria Cigarettes Market, By End-User |
6.7.1 Overview and Analysis |
6.7.2 Nigeria Cigarettes Market Revenues & Volume, By Men, 2021- 2031F |
6.7.3 Nigeria Cigarettes Market Revenues & Volume, By Women, 2021- 2031F |
7 Nigeria Cigarettes Market Import-Export Trade Statistics |
7.1 Nigeria Cigarettes Market Export to Major Countries |
7.2 Nigeria Cigarettes Market Imports from Major Countries |
8 Nigeria Cigarettes Market Key Performance Indicators |
8.1 Average selling price per pack of cigarettes |
8.2 Number of new product launches and innovations in the market |
8.3 Consumer perception and awareness of cigarette brands |
8.4 Retail distribution network coverage and penetration |
8.5 Tobacco industry trade shows and events participation |
9 Nigeria Cigarettes Market - Opportunity Assessment |
9.1 Nigeria Cigarettes Market Opportunity Assessment, By Type, 2021 & 2031F |
9.2 Nigeria Cigarettes Market Opportunity Assessment, By Format, 2021 & 2031F |
9.3 Nigeria Cigarettes Market Opportunity Assessment, By Pack Type, 2021 & 2031F |
9.4 Nigeria Cigarettes Market Opportunity Assessment, By Price, 2021 & 2031F |
9.5 Nigeria Cigarettes Market Opportunity Assessment, By Age Group, 2021 & 2031F |
9.6 Nigeria Cigarettes Market Opportunity Assessment, By Distribution Channel, 2021 & 2031F |
9.7 Nigeria Cigarettes Market Opportunity Assessment, By End-User, 2021 & 2031F |
10 Nigeria Cigarettes Market - Competitive Landscape |
10.1 Nigeria Cigarettes Market Revenue Share, By Companies, 2024 |
10.2 Nigeria Cigarettes Market Competitive Benchmarking, By Operating and Technical Parameters |
11 Company Profiles |
12 Recommendations |
13 Disclaimer |
Export potential enables firms to identify high-growth global markets with greater confidence by combining advanced trade intelligence with a structured quantitative methodology. The framework analyzes emerging demand trends and country-level import patterns while integrating macroeconomic and trade datasets such as GDP and population forecasts, bilateral import–export flows, tariff structures, elasticity differentials between developed and developing economies, geographic distance, and import demand projections. Using weighted trade values from 2020–2024 as the base period to project country-to-country export potential for 2030, these inputs are operationalized through calculated drivers such as gravity model parameters, tariff impact factors, and projected GDP per-capita growth. Through an analysis of hidden potentials, demand hotspots, and market conditions that are most favorable to success, this method enables firms to focus on target countries, maximize returns, and global expansion with data, backed by accuracy.
By factoring in the projected importer demand gap that is currently unmet and could be potential opportunity, it identifies the potential for the Exporter (Country) among 190 countries, against the general trade analysis, which identifies the biggest importer or exporter.
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