| Product Code: ETC5686653 | Publication Date: Nov 2023 | Updated Date: Dec 2025 | Product Type: Market Research Report | |
| Publisher: 6Wresearch | Author: Ravi Bhandari | No. of Pages: 60 | No. of Figures: 30 | No. of Tables: 5 |
In 2024, Zambia continued to rely on cigarette imports primarily from South Africa, Burundi, China, Germany, and Switzerland. The high Herfindahl-Hirschman Index (HHI) indicates a concentrated market. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) for cigarette imports in Zambia from 2020 to 2024 was -0.57%, with a significant decline in growth rate from 2023 to 2024 at -23.45%. This data suggests a challenging environment for the cigarette import market in Zambia, with potential implications for industry players and policymakers to consider.

1 Executive Summary |
2 Introduction |
2.1 Key Highlights of the Report |
2.2 Report Description |
2.3 Market Scope & Segmentation |
2.4 Research Methodology |
2.5 Assumptions |
3 Zambia Cigarette? Market Overview |
3.1 Zambia Country Macro Economic Indicators |
3.2 Zambia Cigarette? Market Revenues & Volume, 2021 & 2031F |
3.3 Zambia Cigarette? Market - Industry Life Cycle |
3.4 Zambia Cigarette? Market - Porter's Five Forces |
3.5 Zambia Cigarette? Market Revenues & Volume Share, By Type, 2021 & 2031F |
3.6 Zambia Cigarette? Market Revenues & Volume Share, By Distribution Channel, 2021 & 2031F |
4 Zambia Cigarette? Market Dynamics |
4.1 Impact Analysis |
4.2 Market Drivers |
4.2.1 Increase in disposable income of the population |
4.2.2 Growing urbanization and changing lifestyles |
4.2.3 Rising youth population leading to higher smoking rates |
4.3 Market Restraints |
4.3.1 Government regulations and taxation policies on tobacco products |
4.3.2 Increasing health awareness and anti-smoking campaigns |
5 Zambia Cigarette? Market Trends |
6 Zambia Cigarette? Market Segmentations |
6.1 Zambia Cigarette? Market, By Type |
6.1.1 Overview and Analysis |
6.1.2 Zambia Cigarette? Market Revenues & Volume, By Light, 2021-2031F |
6.1.3 Zambia Cigarette? Market Revenues & Volume, By Medium, 2021-2031F |
6.1.4 Zambia Cigarette? Market Revenues & Volume, By Others, 2021-2031F |
6.2 Zambia Cigarette? Market, By Distribution Channel |
6.2.1 Overview and Analysis |
6.2.2 Zambia Cigarette? Market Revenues & Volume, By Tobacco Shops, 2021-2031F |
6.2.3 Zambia Cigarette? Market Revenues & Volume, By Supermarket and Hypermarkets, 2021-2031F |
6.2.4 Zambia Cigarette? Market Revenues & Volume, By Convenience Stores, 2021-2031F |
6.2.5 Zambia Cigarette? Market Revenues & Volume, By Online Stores, 2021-2031F |
6.2.6 Zambia Cigarette? Market Revenues & Volume, By Others, 2021-2031F |
7 Zambia Cigarette? Market Import-Export Trade Statistics |
7.1 Zambia Cigarette? Market Export to Major Countries |
7.2 Zambia Cigarette? Market Imports from Major Countries |
8 Zambia Cigarette? Market Key Performance Indicators |
8.1 Number of new product launches in the market |
8.2 Average selling price of cigarettes |
8.3 Percentage of population in the target age group (18-35) who are smokers |
8.4 Investment in marketing and advertising activities for cigarettes |
8.5 Retail distribution network coverage in urban and rural areas |
9 Zambia Cigarette? Market - Opportunity Assessment |
9.1 Zambia Cigarette? Market Opportunity Assessment, By Type, 2021 & 2031F |
9.2 Zambia Cigarette? Market Opportunity Assessment, By Distribution Channel, 2021 & 2031F |
10 Zambia Cigarette? Market - Competitive Landscape |
10.1 Zambia Cigarette? Market Revenue Share, By Companies, 2024 |
10.2 Zambia Cigarette? Market Competitive Benchmarking, By Operating and Technical Parameters |
11 Company Profiles |
12 Recommendations | 13 Disclaimer |
Export potential enables firms to identify high-growth global markets with greater confidence by combining advanced trade intelligence with a structured quantitative methodology. The framework analyzes emerging demand trends and country-level import patterns while integrating macroeconomic and trade datasets such as GDP and population forecasts, bilateral import–export flows, tariff structures, elasticity differentials between developed and developing economies, geographic distance, and import demand projections. Using weighted trade values from 2020–2024 as the base period to project country-to-country export potential for 2030, these inputs are operationalized through calculated drivers such as gravity model parameters, tariff impact factors, and projected GDP per-capita growth. Through an analysis of hidden potentials, demand hotspots, and market conditions that are most favorable to success, this method enables firms to focus on target countries, maximize returns, and global expansion with data, backed by accuracy.
By factoring in the projected importer demand gap that is currently unmet and could be potential opportunity, it identifies the potential for the Exporter (Country) among 190 countries, against the general trade analysis, which identifies the biggest importer or exporter.
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